Late Week Lift & New Highs in Equities Yet Commodities Move South
Written by Al Martin Sunday, 14 July 2013 21:39
(7-14-13) In midweek trade we had yet another opportunity to get long the Sep. Bonds on a retest of the 132.26 ten-day low. We held on to the Bonds and were sellers on our standing order at 134.26 in Friday’s session. We would look to buy the Bonds again on any move back below 134.00.
Second Quarter Action Sets Up for Fresh Trading Opportunities
Written by Al Martin Sunday, 07 July 2013 19:11
(7-7-13) Our short stops in the Sep. Long Bond Contract were run under the recent contract lows at 133.04 in Friday's session, allowing us to take nearly a point out of the contract. We would be looking to get long the contract now on any move down to 131.30 in Sunday's overnight session. We would also be looking to short the Spoos on any move up to 1640, also in Sunday’s overnight session.
Liquidation Trade to Continue in 2 H
Written by Al Martin Sunday, 30 June 2013 22:41
(6-30-13) We had good end of quarter buying coming in to the
Sep. Long Bond contract, as consensus opinion now swinging around to
recognition of severely oversold condition in the Bonds. We have been
consistently buying the Bonds in the 135.12 area, selling them on rallies up to
136. Although the Bonds are still being turned back at the 136.10 area, we
expect that area to be exceeded and we expect a move above 136.12 would bring
in a fresh round of buying.
Look to Fade Rallies in the Coming Week's Trade
Written by Al Martin Sunday, 23 June 2013 21:54
(6-23-13) The Sep. Long Bond contract got hammered again in
Friday's session. We had been hanging on to our shorts from 138.27, which we
finally covered in Friday’s close. For the first time in a week, we are finally
long the Sep. contract from 134.26. Bonds are now nearly oversold, having
experienced their largest weekly drop in history. We think this is a kneejerk
reaction to Bernanke's Wednesday speech and that the Bonds are a rally waiting
Upcoming Fed Speak To Determine Market Directions
Written by Al Martin Monday, 17 June 2013 02:23
(6-16-13) We continue to trade the Sep. Long Bonds from the long side. We were buyers once again in Friday’s trade on our standing orders at 139.20. Again we were able to take a half point out of the contract on the long side before the close. We think that the upcoming Bernanke Speak this week will be supportive of Bonds and that Bernanke will try to tone down any talk of “taper."
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