Insider Intelligence delivers leading-edge research to clients in a variety of forms, including full-length reports and data visualizations to equip you with actionable takeaways for better business decisions.
In-depth analysis, benchmarks and shorter spotlights on digital trends.
Learn More
Interactive projections with 10k+ metrics on market trends, & consumer behavior.
Learn More
Proprietary data and over 3,000 third-party sources about the most important topics.
Learn More
Industry KPIs
Industry benchmarks for the most important KPIs in digital marketing, advertising, retail and ecommerce.
Learn More
Client-only email newsletters with analysis and takeaways from the daily news.
Learn More
Analyst Access Program
Exclusive time with the thought leaders who craft our research.
Learn More

About Insider Intelligence

Our goal at Insider Intelligence is to unlock digital opportunities for our clients with the world’s most trusted forecasts, analysis, and benchmarks. Spanning five core coverage areas and dozens of industries, our research on digital transformation is exhaustive.
Our Story
Learn more about our mission and how Insider Intelligence came to be.
Learn More
Rigorous proprietary data vetting strips biases and produces superior insights.
Learn More
Our People
Take a look into our corporate culture and view our open roles.
Join the Team
Contact Us
Speak to a member of our team to learn more about Insider Intelligence.
Contact Us
See our latest press releases, news articles or download our press kit.
Learn More
Advertising & Sponsorship Opportunities
Reach an engaged audience of decision-makers.
Learn More
Browse our upcoming and past events, recent podcasts, and other featured resources.
Learn More
Tune in to eMarketer's daily, weekly, and monthly podcasts.
Learn More

Global Ecommerce 2019

Ecommerce Continues Strong Gains Amid Global Economic Uncertainty

Global Ecommerce 2019

Forecasts for seven markets: US, Canada, China, France, Germany, Latin America, UK

See All
About This Report
The global ecommerce market will rise more than 20% in 2019, despite mounting economic uncertainty and declining consumer spending growth around the world.
Table of Contents

We estimate that the global retail market will reach $25.038 trillion in 2019, an increase of 4.5% and slight acceleration in growth vs. the prior year. At the same time, it represents a marked decline from the five years preceding that, when global retail sales grew between 5.7% and 7.5% each year.

This consumer spending slowdown over the past two years reflects growing economic uncertainty and a dampening economic environment across many corners of the globe. China’s economy, which has been surging over the better part of the past decade, has seen GDP growth level off considerably. GDP growth in Europe has also stalled on several fronts, and even a hot US consumer economy appears to have its best days in the rearview mirror.

eMarketer 2019 Global Ecommerce Forecast

Amid this backdrop of declining momentum, we estimate that global ecommerce will rise 20.7% in 2019 to $3.535 trillion. Despite its obviously strong growth rate, 2019 will experience a decline from the previous two years when ecommerce grew 28.0% in 2017 and 22.9% in 2018. By 2021, we expect global ecommerce will approach $5 trillion, though growth rates will fall below the 20% threshold beginning in 2020.

Even with the cooling off of China’s previously hot consumer economy, Asia-Pacific will still lead the global ecommerce growth charge in 2019. We expect the region to see growth of 25.0% to $2.271 trillion, representing 64.3% of global ecommerce spending. Latin America and Middle East/Africa will experience identical year-over-year growth rates of 21.3%, slightly outpacing the global average, while North America (up 14.5%) and Western Europe (up 10.2%) are the laggards.

Six of the top 10 fastest-growing ecommerce countries in 2019 hail from the Asia-Pacific region, led by India and the Philippines at more than 30% growth and rounded out by China, Malaysia, Indonesia and South Korea. Latin America boasts the top-growing overall ecommerce market—Mexico at 35.0%—and No. 8 Argentina. Even more mature regions for ecommerce like North America (Canada, 21.1% growth) and Europe (Russia, 18.7% growth) claimed spots in the top 10.

Top Global Ecommerce Markets

In 2019, the top global ecommerce market will be China, with $1.935 trillion in ecommerce sales—more than three times greater than the US at No. 2 with $586.92 billion. It’s hard to fathom, but China only recently surpassed the US in ecommerce sales in 2013 for the first time. Since then, it has quickly widened the margin. On its own, China represents 54.7% of the global ecommerce market, a share nearly twice that of the next five countries combined. As China goes, so goes the global ecommerce market.

Western Europe owns three of the top six ecommerce markets, led by the UK ($141.93 billion), Germany ($81.85 billion) and France ($69.43 billion), but as more mature markets, each is growing at year-over-year rates well below the global ecommerce growth rate.

This contrasts with Canada’s relatively advanced internet market, which continues to see strong growth rates. The No. 8 ecommerce market worldwide will grow 21.1% to $49.80 billion in 2019. Despite Canada’s overall digital maturity, ecommerce has traditionally lagged in the market because of logistical inefficiencies. Canada’s geographically dispersed population from its western to eastern borders has made building out ecommerce distribution centers and delivery capabilities more cost-prohibitive. Recent improvements are now helping shift spending online at an accelerated rate.

The fastest-growing ecommerce market within the top 10 is India, which will jump 31.9% to $46.05 billion in sales this year. Although India represents one of the largest economies in the world, its ecommerce market is relatively nascent, due in large part to a lower-income population and still-emerging infrastructure to support payment and delivery.

Behind the Numbers

We include the following consumer categories in our definition of retail ecommerce sales:

Retail ecommerce sales include the sale of products and related services ordered using the internet, regardless of fulfillment method.

Motor vehicle and parts dealer sales; furniture sales; electronics and appliance sales; building material and garden equipment sales; food and beverage sales; health and personal care sales; gasoline sales; clothing and clothing accessories sales; sporting goods, hobby, book and physical music sales; general merchandise sales; miscellaneous sales; nonstore sales (i.e., pure play ecommerce platform sales, mail order sales, etc.); digital download sales (movies, music, content, etc.); consumer-to-consumer (C2C) platform sales (eBay, auction sites, etc.).

We exclude the following consumer categories from our definition of retail ecommerce sales:

Food services and drinking place sales (i.e., restaurant sales, restaurant delivery ordered online); travel sales; event ticket sales; payments, such as bill pay, taxes or money transfers; gambling and other vice good sales.

Here’s what’s in the full report


Exportable files for easy reading, analysis and sharing.


Reliable data in simple displays for presentations and quick decision making.

5expert perspectives

Insights from industry and company leaders.

Table of Contents

  1. Top Global Ecommerce Markets
  2. Ecommerce Channel Breakdown by Market
  3. Digital Buyer Penetration by Market
  1. What’s Shaping Global Ecommerce in 2019?
  2. Key Takeaways
  3. eMarketer Interviews
  1. Read Next
  2. Sources
  3. Media Gallery

Interviewed for This Report

Steve Dennis
SageBerry Consulting
President and Founder
Interviewed April 26, 2019
Andrew Ruegger
GroupM North America
Managing Partner, Head of Ecommerce and Data Science
Interviewed May 3, 2019
Vishal Shah
Head of Product
Interviewed May 6, 2019
Andrea Stairs
eBay Canada and Latin America
General Manager
Interviewed May 16, 2019
Chris Walton
Red Archer Retail
Interviewed May 28, 2019


Andrew Lipsman


Matteo Ceurvels
Research Analyst
Man-Chung Cheung
Research Analyst
Monica Peart
Senior Director, Forecasting
Amy Rotondo
Research Manager, US
Peter Vahle
Forecasting Analyst
Karin von Abrams
Principal Analyst
Already have a subscription?Sign In

Access All Charts and Data

Gain access to reliable data presented in clear and intelligible displays for quick understanding and decision making on the most important topics related to your industry

Become a Client